Grok simulates the final outcome of the Philadelphia Eagles’ 2026 season ahead of Week 1 against the Washington Commanders
The Philadelphia Eagles officially kick off Week 1 of the 2026 season this week against the Washington Commanders, but how should we project this season to look overall? We have run the numbers from an unbiased POV, and here is what Grok says.
The wait is officially over. Training camp is behind us, the preseason is over, and the roster deadline day has come and gone. All 32 teams will be in action this week, starting Wednesday, when the Patriots and Seahawks kick things off with a Super Bowl rematch.
For the Philadelphia Eagles, Week 1 features the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon, and it serves as a fresh start for the Birds. The A.J. Brown drama is in the rearview, Jalen Hurts is poised to rebound after a noisy offseason, and DeVonta Smith is looking to embrace the WR No.1 role. But how does the team actually project? We asked Grok to help simulate the final results of the Eagles’ 2026 season.
The simulated 2026 Eagles season
Final regular-season record: 12-5
NFC East champions (third straight)
No. 2 seed in the NFC
Lost NFC Championship at home
Act I — The install (Weeks 1-6)
Week 1: vs. Washington — W 24-17
Hurts is careful. Barkley is not. He runs for 128 yards and a score, the offensive line wins the line of scrimmage, and Fangio’s front keeps Jayden Daniels from exploding. Lemon’s first NFL catch is a 9-yard slant. The crowd treats it like a Super Bowl. Philadelphia is 1-0. The offense is functional, not pretty.
Week 2: at Tennessee — W 27-13
Same script, slightly cleaner. Hurts hits Smith on a 41-yard play-action shot. Tank Bigsby scores in the fourth. The Titans cannot run. Easy road win.
Week 3: at Chicago (MNF) — W 23-20
This is the first real scare. Caleb Williams makes two throws that look like 2026 MVP tape. Philadelphia wins because Baun forces a fumble at the Eagles’ 8-yard line with 1:12 left and Jake Elliott hits from 47. Mannion’s offense still cannot stay on the field on third-and-7.
Week 4: vs. L.A. Rams — L 31-17
The first punch in the mouth. Matthew Stafford and a loaded Rams front expose the new passing game. Hurts is sacked four times. Barkley is held under 60 yards. The Linc is quiet by the fourth quarter. 3-1, and the “is Mannion ready?” talk starts in earnest.
Week 5: at Jacksonville (London) — L 20-16
A 9:30 a.m. ET kick in Tottenham. The Eagles look jet-lagged and conservative. Trevor Lawrence converts two fourth downs. Elliott misses a 51-yarder that would have tied it. 3-2. The offense has 16 points in two straight games.
Week 6: vs. Carolina — W 34-10
The dam breaks a little. Hurts throws two touchdowns, one to Goedert and one to Wicks. Barkley adds 97 and a score. Lemon gets 6 catches for 71 yards from the slot. Philadelphia is 4-2 heading into the Dallas week, and the building finally has some rhythm.
Act II — The division (Weeks 7-12)
Week 7: vs. Dallas (MNF) — W 28-24
The game the city wanted. Barkley 142 yards. Hurts sneaks for the go-ahead score with 2:08 left. Cooper DeJean picks Dak Prescott at the goal line. The Linc is unhinged. 5-2.
Week 8: at Washington (SNF) — W 30-16
Daniels is good. The Eagles are better. Greenard and Hunt combine for 3 sacks. Smith has 8 for 112. Sweep of the Commanders. 6-2.
Week 9: vs. N.Y. Giants — W 27-13
Business trip. Will Shipley scores on a screen. The Giants never threaten. 7-2. Then the bye.
Week 10: BYE
Lemon’s usage jumps in practice. The staff commits to more 11 personnel and more under-center play-action. Greenard is fully healthy. The feeling around the NovaCare Complex is that the offense is about to catch the defense.
Week 11: vs. Pittsburgh — W 21-18
A grind. Aaron Rodgers-era Steelers football, just with a different quarterback. Carter collapses the pocket on 3rd-and-8 in the fourth. Elliott from 39 wins it. 8-2.
Week 12: at Dallas (Thanksgiving) — L 27-23
The split. Dallas gets revenge on national TV. A late Hurts interception in the red zone. The Cowboys take the season series 1-1 and stay alive in the East. 8-3.
Act III — Closing it out (Weeks 13-18)
Week 13: at Arizona — W 24-10
Rest-and-recover win. Barkley sits the fourth quarter. Bigsby and Shipley handle it.
Week 14: vs. Indianapolis — W 31-17
Lemon’s breakout: 7-118-1, including a 38-yard touchdown on a slot fade. The rookie is no longer a project. 10-3. Division title is in sight.
Week 15: vs. Seattle (Saturday night) — L 26-20
The defending champs come to the Linc and leave with a win. Seattle’s front wins. Hurts is hit too often. A reminder that the ceiling still has a lid.
Week 16: vs. Houston (Christmas Eve) — W 23-13
Fangio masterpiece. The Texans’ offense goes nowhere. Quinyon Mitchell has two pass breakups that look like Pro Bowl film. 11-4. NFC East locked up for the third straight year.
Week 17: at San Francisco — L 24-21
A January rematch of last year’s Wild Card. The 49ers get them again, this time in the regular season. Close, physical, frustrating. Seeding implications only.
Week 18: at N.Y. Giants — W 20-17
Hurts plays a half. McKee closes. Philadelphia finishes 12-5 and the No. 2 seed. Dallas wins out and takes the 5-seed. Washington finishes 8-9. The Giants are 7-10.
Simulated final NFC East
| Team | Record | Div |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 12-5 | 5-1 |
| Cowboys | 10-7 | 4-2 |
| Commanders | 8-9 | 2-4 |
| Giants | 7-10 | 1-5 |
Playoffs
Divisional Round: vs. Green Bay — W 27-23
The first home playoff win since the Super Bowl year. Barkley 131 yards. Hurts finds Goedert for the go-ahead score with 3:41 left. Mitchell breaks up a fourth-down throw at the Eagles’ 4. The Linc sounds like 2024 again.
NFC Championship: vs. L.A. Rams — L 28-24
The rematch of Week 4, with everything on the line. Stafford is surgical. The Rams’ defense, the one that looked like a Super Bowl front in September, is even better in January. Hurts drives them to the Rams’ 11 with 48 seconds left. Fourth-and-4. He looks for Smith in the back of the end zone. Incomplete. Season over.
No Super Bowl. No collapse. A 12-5 division title, a playoff win, and a conference title game that was one throw away.

